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Long-term U.S. pork outlook foresees record production and exports

An upward trend in total pork production and exports is expected from 2027 to 2035.

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) has published its long-term agricultural projections to 2035. U.S. pork production is expected to grow moderately over the forecast period. Pork production increases by a total of 11.2% between 2027 and 2035. In 2027, pork production is expected to be about 28.1 billion pounds. In 2035, production is projected at about 31.3 billion pounds. Steady increases in pigs per litter rates and heavier carcass weights maintain rising pork production, offsetting much of the variability in farrowings.

U.S. animal product production, 2005-2035. Source: USDA.

Expected per capita retail weight pork disappearance over the projection period averages 52.3 pounds. Disappearance climbs 4.1 pounds from 2027 to 2035, ending at 54.0 pounds per capita.

U.S. per capita meat consumption, 2005-2035. Source: USDA

Pork exports are expected to grow by an aggregate 11.2% to a record level of 7.81 billion pounds in 2035. Efficiency gains in U.S. hog production and pork processing continue to enhance the sector’s international competitiveness.